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022 _a0895-3309
100 _aBarlevy, Gadi
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245 4 _aThe Shifting Reasons for Beveridge Curve Shifts
260 _bJournal of Economic Perspectives
260 _c2024
300 _a83-106
520 _aWe discuss how the relative importance of factors that contribute to movements of the US Beveridge curve has changed from 1959 to 2023. We review these factors in the context of a simple flow analogy used to capture the main insights of search and matching theories of the labor market. Changes in inflow rates, related to demographics, accounted for Beveridge curve shifts between 1959 and 2000. A reduction in matching efficiency, that depressed unemployment outflows, shifted the curve outwards in the wake of the Great Recession. In contrast, the most recent shifts in the Beveridge curve appear driven by changes in the eagerness of workers to switch jobs. Finally, we argue that, while the Beveridge curve is a useful tool for relating unemployment and job openings to inflation, the link between these labor market indicators and inflation depends on whether and why the Beveridge curve shifted. Therefore, a careful examination of the factors underlying movements in the Beveridge curve is essential for drawing policy conclusions from the joint behavior of unemployment and job openings.
650 _a Aggregate Human Capital
_9119520
650 _a Aggregate Labor Productivity, Labor Demand, Labor Turnover
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650 _a Employment
_9186
650 _a Intergenerational Income Distribution
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650 _a Wages
650 _aUnemployment
_93282
700 _a Faberman, R. Jason
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700 _a Hobijn, Bart
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700 _aAysegul Sahin
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856 _uhttps://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/jep.38.2.83
999 _c133611
_d133611