000			02364nas a2200241Ia 4500
008			241107c99999999xx |||||||||||| ||und||
022			_a1467-8489
100			_aAbeysekara, Walimuni Chamindri Sewanka Mendis _9123411
245		0	_aEconomic consequences of climate change impacts on South Asian agriculture: A computable general equilibrium analysis
260			_bAustralian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics
260			_c2024
300			_a77-100
520			_aSouth Asia is one of the most vulnerable regions of the globe in terms of climate change, with agriculture the most affected economic sector of the region. This study employs an environmental Global Trade Analysis Project model to simulate the impact of an average global 2°C temperature increase by 2050, with a focus on South Asian countries. The economic costs of climate change in relation to crop productivity losses due to increasing temperature, land productivity losses caused by rising sea levels and heat stress-induced agricultural labour productivity losses are assessed based on model simulations. The results show that the unfavourable climate change impacts on agricultural productivity (crop, land and labour) will reduce food production and create upward pressure on food prices. This will lead to a reduction in food consumption at the household level, threatening future food security in the region. The results further predict a contraction in all South Asian economies by 2050, due to adverse climate change impacts on the agricultural sector. In addition, out of the three climate change damage factors considered, labour productivity causes the greatest economic losses, while land productivity losses caused by rising sea levels impact the least. The study also found that low-income countries would suffer most severely due to the impacts of climate change on the agricultural sector, while high-income countries would be impacted the least.
650			_a Computable General Equilibrium _9123412
650			_a Crop Productivity Losses _9123413
650			_a Labour Productivity Losses _9123414
650			_a Sea Level Rise _978160
650			_a South Asia
650			_aClimate Change
700			_a Meng, Samuel _9123415
700			_a Siriwardana, Mahinda _9123416
856			_uhttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/1467-8489.12541
999			_c134506 _d134506