000 01825nas a2200217Ia 4500
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022 _a2364-1045
100 _aTrofimov, Ivan D.
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245 2 _aA Time Series Analysis of Corporate Profit Rates in Selected Developed Economies: Asymmetries, Non-linearity and Mean Reversion
260 _bJournal of Quantitative Economics
260 _c2024
300 _a303-338
520 _aThis study examines the dynamic behaviour of corporate profits in selected developed economies using the quarterly data. Firstly, the non-linear and asymmetric behaviour is considered: the presence of general form of nonlinearity (based on linear autoregressive model, third order moments and Brock–Dechert–Scheinkman test), of steepness and deepness asymmetry (using the ‘triples test’), and of the cycle-specific asymmetry (using asymmetry in mean and variance models with cycle dummies). Secondly, we examined the possibility of mean-reversion in the series, using a battery of recently developed unit root tests that account for the presence of structural breaks and nonlinearities. The findings indicate mean reversion and trend-stationarity of the profits for most of the economies, thus suggesting impossibility of sustained growth in profits in times of sluggish economic growth and productivity slowdown. The profits were also found to contain non-Gaussian characteristics, to exhibit asymmetric fluctuation in mean (but not variance), and to demonstrate deepness asymmetry.
650 _a Asymmetry
_9123951
650 _a Corporate Profit Rates
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650 _a Nonlinearity
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650 _a Profit
_95118
650 _a Unit Root
_9123954
650 _aBusiness Cycle
_9608
856 _uhttps://doi.org/10.1007/s40953-024-00392-z
999 _c134638
_d134638