An evaluation framework for predictive models of neighbourhood change with applications to predicting residential sales in Buffalo, NY (Record no. 133549)

MARC details
000 -LEADER
fixed length control field 01842nas a2200253Ia 4500
008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION
fixed length control field 240802c99999999xx |||||||||||| ||und||
022 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD SERIAL NUMBER
International Standard Serial Number 0042-0980
100 ## - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Vergara, Jan Voltaire
9 (RLIN) 119786
245 #3 - TITLE STATEMENT
Title An evaluation framework for predictive models of neighbourhood change with applications to predicting residential sales in Buffalo, NY
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC.
Name of publisher, distributor, etc. Urban Studies
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC.
Date of publication, distribution, etc. 2024
300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION
Extent 838-858
520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC.
Abstract New data and technologies, in particular machine learning, may make it possible to forecast neighbourhood change. Doing so may help, for example, to prevent the negative impacts of gentrification on marginalised communities. However, predictive models of neighbourhood change face four challenges: accuracy (are they right?), granularity (are they right at spatial or temporal scales that actually matter for a policy response?), bias (are they equitable?) and expert validity (do models and their predictions make sense to domain experts?). The present work provides a framework to evaluate the performance of predictive models of neighbourhood change along these four dimensions. We illustrate the application of our evaluation framework via a case study of Buffalo, NY, where we consider the following prediction task: given historical data, can we predict the percentage of residential buildings that will be sold or foreclosed on in a given area over a fixed amount of time into the future?
650 ## - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element Displacement/Gentrification
9 (RLIN) 119787
650 ## - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element Machine Learning
9 (RLIN) 71338
650 ## - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element Method
9 (RLIN) 51936
650 ## - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element Neighbourhood
9 (RLIN) 16535
650 ## - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name entry element Housing
9 (RLIN) 284
700 ## - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Dohler, Ehren
9 (RLIN) 119788
700 ## - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Phillips, Jonathan
9 (RLIN) 119789
700 ## - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Rodriguez, Maria Y
9 (RLIN) 119790
700 ## - ADDED ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Villodas, Melissa L
9 (RLIN) 119791
856 ## - ELECTRONIC LOCATION AND ACCESS
Uniform Resource Identifier <a href="https://doi.org/10.1177/00420980231189403">https://doi.org/10.1177/00420980231189403</a>
999 ## - SYSTEM CONTROL NUMBERS (KOHA)
Koha biblionumber 133549
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        Dr VKRV Rao Library Dr VKRV Rao Library 02/08/2024 Vol. 61, No. 5   AI202 02/08/2024 02/08/2024 Article Index